HVCH vs Sparta Nijkerk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.6%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
72.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HVCH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
SCH
1 - 1
HVC
56%
22%
21%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
HVC
0 - 1
SVS
53%
23%
23%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
GSV
3 - 3
HVC
63%
21%
17%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
HVC
1 - 2
BLA
22%
24%
54%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2009 |
HVC
0 - 2
SCH
46%
24%
30%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sparta Nijkerk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
SPA
0 - 0
HOE
59%
22%
20%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
SPA
4 - 1
HOE
54%
23%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
DOV
2 - 3
SPA
12%
19%
70%
|
47 | 23 | 24 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
SPA
0 - 2
SDC
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
IJS
0 - 1
SPA
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |