Hutnik Krakow vs Wisla Pulawy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
4º
18º
6º
22
2º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 79 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 72 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 71 |
3º
|
42.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 59 |
4º
|
51.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 51 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 51 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 48 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 48 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 46 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 41 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 41 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 38 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 33 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 33 |
16º
|
29% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 32 |
17º
|
25% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 23 |
18º
|
79% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
55% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
44.5% | 47.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 31% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 19% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hutnik Krakow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
HUT
4 - 1
ZAG
51%
22%
26%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SKR
1 - 4
HUT
34%
28%
38%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
HUT
0 - 1
SKO
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
MGJ
5 - 0
HUT
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
HUT
6 - 2
LWJ
77%
14%
9%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Wisla Pulawy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
CHO
3 - 2
WIS
48%
23%
29%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
WIS
1 - 2
KAL
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
LKS
0 - 0
WIS
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
WIS
0 - 3
POG
37%
26%
38%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
MGJ
0 - 0
WIS
34%
26%
41%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |