Hürth vs Wegberg-Beeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
55.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-83%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
BWF
1 - 0
HUR
15%
18%
68%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
HUR
6 - 0
VLR
72%
16%
12%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
HIL
1 - 4
HUR
30%
21%
49%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
HUR
0 - 0
BFR
56%
20%
23%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
HUR
3 - 1
BWF
70%
17%
13%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Wegberg-Beeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
WEG
6 - 0
GEW
88%
9%
4%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
BFR
1 - 2
WEG
20%
21%
59%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
WEG
1 - 0
SIE
87%
9%
5%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
BER
2 - 1
WEG
26%
22%
52%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
WEG
4 - 0
H05
81%
12%
7%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |