Hürth vs Deutz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
23.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+182%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
BWF
1 - 2
HUR
50%
22%
29%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
H05
1 - 1
HUR
60%
20%
20%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
HUR
1 - 1
VFL
69%
17%
14%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
HUR
0 - 0
DUR
57%
20%
23%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
BER
0 - 0
HUR
53%
22%
25%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Deutz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ALT
1 - 1
SVD
41%
23%
36%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
SPF
1 - 1
SVD
45%
22%
34%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
SVD
2 - 5
BWF
61%
19%
21%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
SVD
3 - 2
SIE
49%
21%
30%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
H05
3 - 0
SVD
64%
17%
18%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |