Hürth vs SpVgg Frechen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
58.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
9º
15º
11º
55
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
90.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
9.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
HUR
2 - 2
BER
16%
20%
63%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SIE
1 - 0
HUR
52%
22%
26%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
HUR
1 - 3
VFL
12%
17%
71%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SCF
0 - 1
HUR
75%
14%
10%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
BSC
0 - 0
HUR
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
SpVgg Frechen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
SPF
3 - 1
KON
54%
20%
26%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SVE
2 - 1
SPF
57%
21%
21%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SPF
3 - 1
H05
37%
24%
39%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
SPF
6 - 1
SIE
71%
17%
12%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
BSC
4 - 1
SPF
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |