Hürth vs Pesch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
18.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
6º
13º
10º
26
10º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
77% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
77% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SVE
4 - 1
HUR
61%
19%
20%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
HUR
0 - 4
WEG
22%
23%
55%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
KON
0 - 2
HUR
61%
19%
20%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
HUR
2 - 2
BFR
25%
23%
52%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SIE
1 - 1
HUR
50%
22%
28%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
PES
2 - 2
SCF
22%
20%
58%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
PES
0 - 2
SVE
20%
19%
61%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BER
4 - 0
PES
79%
14%
8%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
PES
1 - 3
WEG
18%
21%
61%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
VFL
2 - 2
PES
74%
15%
11%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |