Hürth vs Germania Windeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
BER
1 - 4
HUR
43%
22%
35%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
HUR
3 - 1
BER
75%
15%
10%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
EUR
1 - 1
HUR
58%
21%
22%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2014 |
SCB
1 - 3
HUR
40%
22%
38%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ALT
2 - 2
HUR
46%
22%
32%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Germania Windeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
GEW
2 - 1
GER
65%
19%
16%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
GEW
1 - 0
BER
20%
22%
58%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
BER
4 - 1
GEW
31%
23%
46%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
SCB
2 - 0
GEW
57%
21%
22%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
GEW
0 - 2
ALT
36%
23%
42%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |