Hürth vs FC BW Friesdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
22.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-105%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
VLR
1 - 2
HUR
13%
17%
70%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
HUR
1 - 1
HIL
69%
17%
14%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
HUR
2 - 1
GEW
79%
14%
7%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2017 |
HUR
1 - 3
SPO
35%
25%
40%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
BFR
1 - 1
HUR
47%
23%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC BW Friesdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
BWF
1 - 1
GEW
79%
14%
8%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
BFR
1 - 1
BWF
60%
20%
20%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
BWF
6 - 0
SIE
27%
23%
50%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +3 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
BER
2 - 1
BWF
70%
17%
14%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
H05
1 - 3
BWF
56%
20%
24%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |