Hürth vs Bonner SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
65.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
6º
13º
10º
56
2º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
77% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
77% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
SFB
4 - 3
HUR
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
HUR
1 - 0
BFR
31%
24%
46%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
SPF
0 - 3
HUR
59%
20%
21%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
HUR
2 - 1
VFL
43%
24%
33%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
HUR
0 - 4
H05
14%
19%
67%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Bonner SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
BSC
2 - 2
ALT
79%
14%
7%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
SPI
1 - 6
BSC
15%
18%
67%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
BSC
1 - 5
STE
17%
22%
61%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
SPF
3 - 2
BSC
23%
24%
53%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
BSC
0 - 2
TRI
8%
19%
73%
|
36 | 70 | 34 | 0 |