Hürth vs Bergisch Gladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
28.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-71%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
GEW
1 - 5
HUR
14%
19%
66%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
H05
1 - 0
HUR
24%
22%
54%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -3 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
HUR
3 - 1
VIA
51%
23%
26%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
HUR
2 - 1
EUR
43%
21%
36%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
IHN
1 - 1
HUR
54%
20%
26%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bergisch Gladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
BER
3 - 0
GEW
77%
15%
8%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
BFR
1 - 1
BER
51%
23%
26%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
BER
2 - 2
SIE
60%
20%
21%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
BER
0 - 0
VIA
48%
23%
28%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
BER
0 - 0
HIL
65%
18%
17%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |