Hürth vs Bergisch Gladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
68.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
BER
0 - 3
HUR
22%
21%
57%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
HUR
0 - 3
SCB
22%
22%
56%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
HIL
4 - 0
HUR
62%
20%
19%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
HUR
1 - 1
AAA
23%
23%
54%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
HUR
0 - 3
WES
59%
20%
21%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bergisch Gladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
BER
2 - 2
GEW
68%
19%
14%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
GER
1 - 1
BER
21%
21%
59%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
BER
6 - 0
HIL
74%
16%
11%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
SCB
1 - 1
BER
31%
22%
47%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
BER
0 - 2
ALT
63%
19%
18%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |