Hürth vs Alfter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
44.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2017 |
PES
2 - 2
HUR
27%
21%
52%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2017 |
HUR
1 - 1
EUR
39%
23%
38%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
HUR
5 - 0
SIE
65%
18%
17%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
BER
2 - 2
HUR
48%
23%
29%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
HUR
0 - 1
H05
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Alfter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ALT
0 - 1
SIE
77%
14%
9%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
WES
0 - 3
ALT
16%
18%
67%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
ALT
1 - 4
EUR
51%
22%
27%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
HER
0 - 0
ALT
47%
22%
32%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ALT
0 - 1
WEG
43%
23%
34%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -2 |