Huragan Morag vs Sokół Ostróda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
29%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Huragan Morag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
OLI
2 - 2
HUR
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
PEL
2 - 3
HUR
44%
23%
32%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
HUR
4 - 0
WIK
81%
13%
6%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
TBP
3 - 1
HUR
14%
20%
66%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | -2 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
HUR
0 - 1
DNM
54%
23%
24%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sokół Ostróda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
SOK
1 - 0
SWI
31%
24%
46%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
SOK
2 - 3
WLO
16%
22%
62%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -2 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
WSI
0 - 2
SOK
23%
22%
55%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2018 |
SOK
1 - 0
SWI
27%
23%
50%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
MVS
1 - 1
SOK
54%
20%
26%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |