Huragan Morag vs Sokół Ostróda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Huragan Morag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
DNM
1 - 1
HUR
69%
18%
12%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
HUR
1 - 0
MKS
72%
16%
12%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
PEL
1 - 0
HUR
50%
26%
25%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
LKS
1 - 0
HUR
62%
21%
18%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
HUR
3 - 0
JAG
63%
21%
16%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sokół Ostróda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SOK
0 - 1
LKS
18%
24%
58%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
JAG
1 - 1
SOK
47%
25%
29%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
SOK
1 - 1
RWM
24%
21%
54%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
HWP
0 - 6
SOK
26%
21%
53%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
SOK
0 - 1
UWA
20%
26%
54%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | -1 |