Huragan Morag vs Jagiellonia II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Huragan Morag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
RWM
2 - 0
HUR
45%
22%
32%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
HUR
0 - 2
HWP
85%
11%
5%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
UWA
1 - 1
HUR
50%
25%
24%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
HUR
4 - 0
CON
74%
17%
9%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
SDZ
1 - 3
HUR
6%
16%
78%
|
34 | 8 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Jagiellonia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
JAG
0 - 0
LKS
22%
25%
53%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
PEL
1 - 2
JAG
72%
18%
10%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
RWM
1 - 1
JAG
74%
15%
11%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
WIK
0 - 3
JAG
40%
23%
38%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
JAG
6 - 1
GKE
81%
13%
6%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |