Segunda B Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Huracán Valencia vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Huracán Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
LUC
1 - 0
HUR
41%
25%
35%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
BAD
0 - 1
HUR
29%
28%
43%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
HUR
2 - 0
GIM
41%
30%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
HUR
2 - 1
RCD
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ORI
0 - 1
HUR
25%
27%
48%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
LUC
1 - 0
HUR
41%
25%
35%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
BAL
2 - 0
LUC
41%
28%
31%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
LUC
2 - 0
LOJ
69%
20%
11%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 2
LUC
40%
28%
33%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CAD
0 - 0
LUC
46%
28%
27%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |