Huracán Tres Arroyos vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
52.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Huracán Tres Arroyos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
ARS
1 - 1
HUR
63%
23%
14%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
HUR
0 - 1
EST
30%
29%
41%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
HUR
0 - 0
RIV
17%
23%
60%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
INS
2 - 2
HUR
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
HUR
3 - 1
ARG
39%
27%
33%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
NOB
0 - 0
CEN
46%
26%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
VEL
0 - 0
NOB
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
IND
2 - 0
NOB
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
NOB
2 - 0
GLP
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
BOC
1 - 3
NOB
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |