Hungry Lions vs Venda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
6º
5º
35
8º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
77.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
39% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
3º
|
45.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
61% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 48 |
5º
|
61% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
62% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
63.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
54.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
79% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
75% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
75% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungry Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
JDR
1 - 2
HLF
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
POL
2 - 0
HLF
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
HLF
3 - 2
PCR
58%
24%
19%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
UTH
1 - 0
HLF
34%
29%
37%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
PCF
0 - 1
HLF
41%
27%
33%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Venda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
NBM
1 - 0
VFA
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
VFA
1 - 0
BAR
29%
29%
41%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
TTM
2 - 0
VFA
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
POL
1 - 0
VFA
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
VFA
1 - 0
PCR
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |