Hungry Lions vs Upington City FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.2%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
5.1%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+93%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
9º
8º
44
2º
15º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
63% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
39.5% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
15º
|
60.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungry Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
MIL
0 - 0
HLF
51%
27%
22%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
HLF
2 - 0
PRE
40%
29%
31%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
HLF
1 - 2
MAG
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 0
HLF
43%
29%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
TTM
1 - 2
HLF
30%
27%
43%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Upington City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
UCF
2 - 1
VFA
9%
19%
72%
|
8 | 57 | 49 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
NBM
1 - 0
UCF
85%
12%
4%
|
8 | 53 | 45 | 0 |