Hungry Lions vs Casric Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
36.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
6º
5º
55
1º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
77.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
39% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
3º
|
45.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
61% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 48 |
5º
|
61% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
62% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
63.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
54.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
79% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
75% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
75% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 13.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 86.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungry Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
HLF
1 - 0
NBM
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
AJA
1 - 0
HLF
47%
26%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
HLF
1 - 1
VFA
54%
22%
24%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CST
2 - 0
HLF
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
HLF
3 - 0
TTM
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Casric Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2023 |
CST
1 - 0
AJA
50%
27%
24%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CST
2 - 1
PCR
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
UTH
0 - 3
CST
26%
23%
52%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 2
CST
42%
29%
29%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CST
2 - 0
HLF
43%
28%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |