Hungry Lions vs Baroka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.2%
29%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
35.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
6º
5º
36
7º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
77.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
39% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
3º
|
45.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
61% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 48 |
5º
|
61% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
62% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
67% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
63.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
54.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
79% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
75% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
75% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungry Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
HLF
2 - 0
VFA
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
JDR
1 - 2
HLF
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
POL
2 - 0
HLF
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
HLF
3 - 2
PCR
58%
24%
19%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
UTH
1 - 0
HLF
34%
29%
37%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Baroka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 1
PCR
58%
24%
17%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 2
TTM
48%
28%
24%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
VFA
1 - 0
BAR
29%
29%
41%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BLA
0 - 1
BAR
28%
29%
43%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
BAR
3 - 1
PCF
52%
28%
20%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |