Hungry Lions vs Cape Town Spurs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.1%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
35.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
6º
5º
56
1º
12º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
77.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
39% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
3º
|
45.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
61% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 48 |
5º
|
61% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
62% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
63.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
54.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
79% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
75% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
75% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 77.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 22.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungry Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
HLF
1 - 1
45%
27%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
HLF
2 - 1
POL
34%
29%
37%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
HLF
1 - 1
PCF
51%
26%
23%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
NBM
2 - 0
HLF
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
HLF
2 - 1
JDR
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cape Town Spurs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 3
AJA
37%
29%
34%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
AJA
2 - 1
BLA
62%
23%
16%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
AJA
3 - 2
TTM
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
UTH
0 - 1
AJA
22%
30%
48%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
AJA
3 - 0
BAR
40%
25%
35%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +2 |