Hungary U20 vs Croatia U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
SVN
2 - 2
HUN
16%
21%
63%
|
57 | 33 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
SRB
2 - 1
HUN
37%
24%
39%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
HUN
1 - 1
SVN
79%
14%
7%
|
58 | 31 | 27 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
HUN
3 - 1
SRB
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2009 |
HUN
1 - 1
CRC
21%
22%
57%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Croatia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
CRO
2 - 0
SVN
77%
15%
8%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
SVN
0 - 1
CRO
18%
22%
61%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2011 |
SRB
2 - 0
CRO
40%
24%
35%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
CRO
0 - 1
GTM
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
CRO
2 - 5
NGA
36%
25%
39%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -2 |