UEFA EC U21 Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Hungary U21 vs East Germany U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
22.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1980 |
DDR
3 - 0
HUN
67%
18%
16%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
HUN
0 - 2
YUG
88%
8%
4%
|
59 | 5 | 54 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1978 |
YUG
0 - 1
HUN
22%
27%
51%
|
59 | 5 | 54 | 0 |
Matches
East Germany U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1980 |
DDR
3 - 0
HUN
67%
18%
16%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1978 |
YUG
4 - 4
DDR
23%
27%
50%
|
61 | 10 | 51 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1978 |
DDR
0 - 1
YUG
88%
8%
4%
|
61 | 8 | 53 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1978 |
DDR
3 - 1
BGR
65%
19%
17%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1978 |
BGR
2 - 1
DDR
58%
21%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |