Hungary U21 vs Italy U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
60.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
IRL
2 - 1
HUN
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
WAL
1 - 2
HUN
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
CRO
3 - 2
HUN
69%
18%
12%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
HUN
0 - 2
AUT
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
HUN
0 - 0
SVK
38%
25%
38%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
ITA
1 - 1
SUI
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
ITA
2 - 0
RUS
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
GER
2 - 2
ITA
43%
26%
31%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
ITA
3 - 1
SWE
59%
24%
17%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
ITA
1 - 0
ENG
48%
27%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |