Hungría U21 vs Italy U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
55.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungría U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
WLS
4 - 1
HUN
45%
25%
31%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2009 |
LUX
0 - 1
HUN
27%
27%
47%
|
58 | 19 | 39 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
HUN
3 - 0
LUX
78%
14%
8%
|
58 | 19 | 39 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
SRB
8 - 0
HUN
62%
21%
18%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2008 |
HUN
5 - 0
SMR
73%
16%
10%
|
59 | 24 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2009 |
ITA
1 - 1
BIH
80%
15%
5%
|
81 | 48 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2009 |
ITA
2 - 0
LUX
80%
16%
4%
|
81 | 23 | 58 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
WLS
2 - 1
ITA
17%
22%
61%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
RUS
3 - 2
ITA
28%
24%
48%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2009 |
ITA
0 - 1
DEU
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |