UEFA EC U21 Quarter-finals
Global 3-4
Hungary U21 vs Scotland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
28.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hungary U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1995 |
HUN
3 - 1
ISL
70%
19%
12%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1995 |
SUI
2 - 3
HUN
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1995 |
TUR
2 - 1
HUN
49%
27%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1995 |
ISL
1 - 1
HUN
33%
28%
39%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1995 |
HUN
2 - 1
SWE
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Scotland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1995 |
SCO
1 - 0
SMR
82%
14%
5%
|
67 | 34 | 33 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1995 |
SCO
5 - 0
FIN
60%
22%
17%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 1995 |
SCO
3 - 0
GRC
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1995 |
SMR
0 - 1
SCO
28%
24%
48%
|
65 | 35 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1995 |
RUS
1 - 2
SCO
50%
24%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |