China League Two Play Off Ascenso 1/16
Global 3-5
Hunan Billows FC vs Beijing Technology analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hunan Billows FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
BIT
4 - 1
HBF
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
JIA
1 - 2
HBF
65%
21%
14%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
HBF
0 - 1
GUA
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
SHR
2 - 1
HBF
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
HBF
1 - 2
SHS
65%
20%
16%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Beijing Technology
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
BIT
4 - 1
HBF
38%
26%
36%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
HEB
2 - 1
BIT
71%
18%
11%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
BIT
1 - 3
SCA
20%
24%
56%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
BAO
3 - 0
BIT
17%
19%
65%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | -3 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
BIT
2 - 0
HOH
79%
14%
7%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |