Hume City FC vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
60.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hume City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
SOU
1 - 0
HUM
66%
21%
14%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
HUM
1 - 0
FCS
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 14 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
HEU
1 - 1
HUM
52%
24%
25%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
OAK
3 - 1
HUM
71%
18%
11%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
HUM
2 - 0
ALM
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SOU
0 - 1
OAK
37%
27%
37%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
SOU
1 - 0
HUM
66%
21%
14%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SOU
3 - 2
OLY
68%
19%
14%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SOU
2 - 1
STA
81%
13%
6%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
AVH
1 - 1
SOU
52%
24%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |