Hume City FC vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
50.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hume City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
AVH
4 - 3
HUM
73%
17%
10%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
HUM
1 - 2
DAC
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
POR
1 - 2
HUM
62%
21%
17%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
HUM
3 - 0
ALM
54%
21%
25%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
HUM
1 - 2
OAK
17%
22%
61%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
SOU
4 - 0
STA
88%
9%
4%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
MEL
2 - 1
SOU
25%
23%
53%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SOU
3 - 2
BEN
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
HEU
2 - 1
SOU
37%
24%
39%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
SOU
4 - 3
AVH
32%
25%
43%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |