Hume City FC vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
14.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hume City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
POR
0 - 1
HUM
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
HUM
4 - 0
ELS
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 3
HUM
51%
23%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
HUM
2 - 3
MEL
57%
22%
22%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
OAK
0 - 2
HUM
62%
21%
17%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2021 |
SOU
1 - 1
GRE
41%
24%
35%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
DAN
4 - 1
SOU
55%
21%
24%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
SOU
1 - 2
ALM
72%
16%
12%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
SOU
0 - 1
POR
39%
24%
37%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
SOU
1 - 1
BEN
33%
24%
44%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |