Hume City FC vs Richmond analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
8.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hume City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
HUM
0 - 3
MEL
5%
12%
83%
|
39 | 76 | 37 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
HUM
3 - 2
OAK
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
HUM
3 - 1
SYD
41%
26%
33%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
HUM
2 - 0
PAS
54%
22%
25%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
SOU
5 - 2
HUM
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Richmond
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
PAS
4 - 1
RIC
45%
23%
31%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
RIC
0 - 2
DAN
32%
25%
44%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -3 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
RIC
0 - 0
SOU
79%
13%
8%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
RIC
3 - 2
OAK
31%
25%
44%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 2
RIC
69%
19%
12%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |