Hume City FC vs Port Melbourne Sharks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
56.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-69%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
7º
5º
33
3º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hume City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2024 |
SOU
1 - 0
HUM
80%
13%
7%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
HUM
2 - 0
GRE
32%
24%
44%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
DAN
1 - 2
HUM
63%
19%
18%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
DAN
3 - 4
HUM
67%
18%
15%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
HUM
1 - 1
POR
14%
19%
66%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Port Melbourne Sharks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
POR
3 - 1
MCF
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 13 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 3
POR
51%
22%
27%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
POR
0 - 0
STA
79%
14%
7%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
MEL
2 - 0
POR
42%
23%
35%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
POR
4 - 0
ALM
65%
19%
16%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |