Hume City FC vs Northcote City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
45.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hume City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
BEN
1 - 1
HUM
73%
17%
11%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
GOU
1 - 4
HUM
17%
20%
63%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
HUM
0 - 2
HEU
35%
24%
41%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
HUM
0 - 1
BRD
77%
14%
9%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
GRE
0 - 1
HUM
59%
21%
20%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Northcote City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
NOR
0 - 1
GRE
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SOU
2 - 1
NOR
67%
19%
15%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 0
HEU
53%
22%
26%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
GOU
1 - 3
NOR
13%
18%
70%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 3
OAK
42%
24%
34%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |