Hume City FC vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+76%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hume City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
HUM
0 - 1
MEL
5%
11%
84%
|
35 | 76 | 41 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
HUM
0 - 2
BUL
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
POR
1 - 0
HUM
14%
21%
65%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
HUM
2 - 1
NOR
77%
15%
8%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
HEU
2 - 1
HUM
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
MEL
1 - 3
GRE
28%
25%
47%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
MEL
1 - 2
PAS
47%
25%
27%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
AVH
5 - 0
MEL
50%
22%
28%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
MEL
2 - 1
COC
57%
22%
21%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
SOU
2 - 1
MEL
78%
14%
8%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |