Hume City FC vs Eastern Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.6%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.6%
5.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hume City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 0
HUM
50%
23%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
HUM
1 - 3
HEU
37%
24%
39%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
HUM
1 - 2
STA
77%
14%
9%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
MEL
3 - 0
HUM
46%
24%
31%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
HUM
3 - 4
BEN
41%
24%
35%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Eastern Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
ELS
1 - 2
STA
27%
22%
51%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
MEL
3 - 0
ELS
86%
9%
4%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
ELS
1 - 4
BEN
8%
14%
77%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
SOU
5 - 0
ELS
86%
10%
4%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
ELS
2 - 4
AVH
7%
14%
79%
|
18 | 46 | 28 | -1 |