Hume City FC vs Melbourne Srbija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hume City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
HEU
1 - 1
HUM
52%
24%
25%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
OAK
3 - 1
HUM
71%
18%
11%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
HUM
2 - 0
ALM
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
DHF
0 - 6
HUM
13%
16%
71%
|
42 | 7 | 35 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
HEU
1 - 1
HUM
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Srbija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 1
MOD
10%
13%
77%
|
11 | 40 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
FCS
1 - 3
BCS
59%
20%
21%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
CSC
1 - 0
FCS
57%
20%
23%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
FCS
1 - 0
BCS
55%
21%
25%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1977 |
FCS
2 - 1
SOU
33%
24%
44%
|
15 | 68 | 53 | -4 |