Humble Lions vs Waterhouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
23.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Humble Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2017 |
SSC
1 - 0
LIO
41%
29%
30%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2017 |
LIO
1 - 1
MON
42%
28%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
CAV
0 - 1
LIO
42%
29%
29%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2017 |
UWI
1 - 1
LIO
58%
26%
16%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
LIO
0 - 1
HAR
49%
28%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
WAT
1 - 0
HAR
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2017 |
ARN
1 - 1
WAT
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2017 |
WAT
2 - 1
REN
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2017 |
POR
2 - 1
WAT
56%
26%
18%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2017 |
WAT
0 - 0
TRI
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |