Humble Lions vs Waterhouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
20.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Humble Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
TRI
2 - 0
LIO
48%
28%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
LIO
4 - 0
SSC
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2017 |
CAV
2 - 0
LIO
36%
30%
35%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
LIO
0 - 0
HAR
48%
27%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
POR
3 - 0
LIO
46%
29%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
WAT
58%
25%
18%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2017 |
WAT
1 - 2
TRI
40%
27%
32%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2017 |
SSC
1 - 2
WAT
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2017 |
WAT
0 - 2
CAV
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2017 |
HAR
0 - 0
WAT
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |