Humble Lions vs Waterhouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
25.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Humble Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
LIO
1 - 0
ARN
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
REN
1 - 0
LIO
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
LIO
2 - 0
BOY
40%
30%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
POR
3 - 1
LIO
39%
30%
32%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
LIO
2 - 1
POR
38%
30%
32%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
WAT
0 - 3
JAM
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ARN
2 - 1
WAT
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
UWI
1 - 0
WAT
55%
25%
19%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
WAT
3 - 0
BOY
51%
25%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
WAT
3 - 2
REN
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |