Humble Lions vs Waterhouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
24.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Humble Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
LIO
1 - 0
TRI
35%
30%
35%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
BOY
0 - 0
LIO
54%
26%
20%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2012 |
MON
1 - 2
LIO
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LIO
1 - 0
REN
59%
25%
17%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
HIG
0 - 1
LIO
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 1
WAT
32%
30%
38%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
WAT
2 - 0
SPO
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2012 |
WAT
1 - 2
POR
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2012 |
HAR
1 - 1
WAT
53%
28%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
ARN
2 - 1
WAT
41%
29%
30%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |