Humble Lions vs Montego Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
14.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
3º
12º
10º
43
6º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
85% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
85% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Humble Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
TRI
4 - 1
LIO
37%
28%
36%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
HAR
2 - 2
LIO
39%
29%
33%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
LIO
1 - 1
MOL
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LIO
1 - 0
SFS
64%
23%
14%
|
68 | 33 | 35 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
HAR
2 - 3
LIO
47%
29%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Montego Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
MON
1 - 3
ARN
16%
22%
63%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
VER
1 - 1
MON
41%
27%
31%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
CAV
16%
24%
60%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
WAT
3 - 0
MON
68%
21%
11%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LIM
0 - 0
MON
10%
19%
71%
|
54 | 8 | 46 | 0 |