Humble Lions vs Dunbeholden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
36.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
3º
12º
10º
37
5º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
85% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
85% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Humble Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
SFS
0 - 1
LIO
19%
25%
56%
|
66 | 35 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
LIO
1 - 2
CAV
30%
28%
42%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
LIO
1 - 4
POR
33%
29%
38%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2023 |
MPA
1 - 0
LIO
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2023 |
LIM
0 - 1
LIO
18%
24%
59%
|
67 | 10 | 57 | +1 |
Matches
Dunbeholden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
DFC
0 - 1
ARN
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2024 |
HAR
2 - 0
DFC
33%
27%
40%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
VER
1 - 2
DFC
21%
27%
53%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2023 |
CAV
1 - 0
DFC
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2023 |
DFC
2 - 1
WAT
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |