Humble Lions vs Cavalier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
41.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
3º
12º
10º
54
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
85% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
85% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Humble Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
LIO
1 - 4
POR
33%
29%
38%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2023 |
MPA
1 - 0
LIO
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2023 |
LIM
0 - 1
LIO
18%
24%
59%
|
67 | 10 | 57 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2023 |
DFC
1 - 0
LIO
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
LIO
0 - 2
ARN
29%
27%
44%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cavalier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CAV
3 - 0
ARN
38%
27%
36%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2024 |
MOL
0 - 3
CAV
23%
25%
52%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2023 |
CAV
1 - 0
DFC
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2023 |
CAV
1 - 0
SFS
68%
21%
11%
|
71 | 35 | 36 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2023 |
CAV
1 - 1
TRI
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |