Humble Lions vs Arnett Gardens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
51.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
6º
14º
13º
45
1º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 83 |
1º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 79 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 70 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 68 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 64 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 57 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 55 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 47 |
8º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 45 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 42 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 40 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 38 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
|
14º
|
14 | 31 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 30 |
14º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 81.5% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 18.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
29.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
70.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Humble Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MOL
0 - 1
LIO
40%
26%
35%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
LIO
0 - 0
MON
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
CMF
2 - 0
LIO
37%
27%
36%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
LIO
1 - 1
HAR
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
VER
1 - 1
LIO
27%
28%
45%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Arnett Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
CMF
1 - 1
ARN
28%
25%
47%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MOL
0 - 3
ARN
23%
23%
55%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
ARN
1 - 1
MPA
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
ARN
29%
25%
46%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
ARN
1 - 1
RUF
75%
17%
8%
|
70 | 8 | 62 | 0 |