EFL Cup 1/64
Global 4-5
Hull City vs Scarborough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hull City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1996 |
HUL
2 - 3
BRA
33%
27%
40%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
POS
3 - 1
HUL
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1996 |
WAL
3 - 0
HUL
68%
19%
12%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1996 |
HUL
1 - 2
CRE
31%
27%
42%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1996 |
STO
0 - 0
HUL
67%
20%
13%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Scarborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1996 |
GIL
1 - 0
SCA
62%
23%
16%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
SCA
1 - 4
SCU
34%
29%
38%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
SCA
2 - 0
CAM
34%
27%
39%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 1996 |
PLY
5 - 1
SCA
73%
17%
10%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1996 |
SCA
0 - 2
BCF
28%
28%
44%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | -1 |