Hull City vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hull City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
HAR
2 - 0
HUL
52%
24%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2004 |
HAR
3 - 3
HUL
51%
23%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
HUL
0 - 0
STO
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
POS
2 - 3
HUL
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
HUL
2 - 1
BPO
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
CHE
2 - 2
BRI
33%
26%
40%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2004 |
MAC
2 - 1
CHE
49%
26%
26%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
BAR
1 - 0
CHE
51%
26%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
CHE
1 - 0
WAL
46%
25%
28%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
LUT
1 - 0
CHE
65%
21%
15%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |