EFL Cup 1/32
Global 3-6
Hull City vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
66.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hull City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1998 |
HUL
1 - 2
HAL
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1998 |
BOL
3 - 1
HUL
85%
11%
4%
|
41 | 76 | 35 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
BAR
4 - 1
HUL
63%
22%
16%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1998 |
HUL
2 - 1
ROC
44%
27%
29%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1998 |
HUL
2 - 3
BRE
30%
27%
43%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1998 |
CRE
4 - 4
BOL
23%
25%
52%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1998 |
BOL
3 - 1
HUL
85%
11%
4%
|
76 | 41 | 35 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
BOL
3 - 1
BIR
67%
19%
13%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1998 |
WBA
2 - 3
BOL
29%
26%
46%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
BOL
2 - 2
SHE
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |