Huétor Vega vs Poli Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
19%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
13º
13º
15
15º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 75 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 73 |
2º
|
46.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 60 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 59 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 54 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 53 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 47 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 46 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 45 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 45 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 45 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 43 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
27 | 42 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 40 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 36 |
15º
|
26% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 35 |
16º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
15 | 27 |
17º
|
39% | |
|
18º
|
13 | 22 |
18º
|
65.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
6% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
87% | 15% |
|
Relegation
|
7% | 85% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Huétor Vega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
RJA
3 - 1
HUE
77%
15%
8%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
HUE
1 - 0
MAN
55%
23%
22%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CDL
2 - 2
HUE
39%
25%
37%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
HUE
0 - 1
MAL
27%
23%
50%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CDT
0 - 3
HUE
44%
26%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Poli Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
POL
3 - 0
ARE
31%
25%
44%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
POL
34%
26%
40%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
RJA
6 - 1
POL
83%
12%
5%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
POL
0 - 1
MAN
38%
26%
36%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CDL
1 - 0
POL
44%
24%
32%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |