CD Huétor Tájar vs Atletico Porcuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
7º
15º
8º
5
6º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 72 |
1º
|
35.5% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 71 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 69 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 63 |
4º
|
22.5% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 51 |
5º
|
7.5% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 49 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 48 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
|
14º
|
2 | 47 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 46 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 46 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 46 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 43 |
12º
|
6.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 43 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 40 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
5 | 38 |
15º
|
10.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 28 |
16º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 28 |
17º
|
14.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 24 |
18º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
16.5% | 4.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
75% | 72% |
|
Relegation
|
8% | 23.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Huétor Tájar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
MOT
1 - 1
HUE
53%
23%
24%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
CFV
1 - 2
HUE
23%
20%
57%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
MAL
0 - 0
HUE
73%
16%
10%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
HUE
2 - 4
ARE
56%
23%
21%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
CDR
0 - 3
HUE
26%
24%
51%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Atletico Porcuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 2
TOR
24%
22%
54%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 2
RJA
17%
23%
61%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 3
ATL
68%
19%
14%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ATL
3 - 4
MAR
56%
22%
22%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ALH
0 - 1
ATL
38%
24%
38%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |